The world economy is recovering from its worst recession in decades, although some regions such as North America and Asia, recorded slower growth, according to a study released today by the International Chamber of Commerce (ICC, for its acronym in English).
There was also a marked difference between the growth prospects of different regions. Globally, the economic sentiment indicator fell slightly from 104.1 in the second quarter of 2010 to 103.2 in the third quarter. This was in part a product of the fall in the indicators of two important regions, North America and Asia.
, the overall numbers continue to show substantial gains compared to the third quarter of 2009, when the global economic indicator was 79.6.
The Report of the Global Economy Quarterly was conducted by the If institute in Munich in cooperation with the ICC, for which questioned more than 1,100 experts in 166 countries.
Western Europe, whose economy seemed to be slowing in the previous report, had a surprise performance this quarter, with Germany as the engine of growth in the euro area thanks to rising exports.
In fact, Germany, with growth of 2.2 percent, had its strongest quarter since the reunification of Germany in 1990. However, the recession in Greece and the ongoing adjustment programs in Spain and restructuring in Portugal and Ireland temper Europe’s prospects.
Meanwhile, in North America, growth has slowed in the last quarter. High unemployment in the U.S., the weak private consumption and capital spending led to a less than satisfactory, according to experts consulted.
Meanwhile, there is evidence of a slowdown in the Chinese economy. While its growth rate remains impressive, the weakening of imports and retail sales, along with the Chinese government’s withdrawal of its expansionary monetary policy that we will have an economic slowdown in coming months.
In Africa, there is a strong contrast between South Africa and Kenya, which show positive signs, and other countries with a weak scenario, such as Tanzania, Gabon and Madagascar. South Africa received a boost from hosting the World Cup.
On trade and investment across borders, the study indicates that private consumption, which is key for growth in these areas, remains weak, influenced by high rates of unemployment. Another factor limiting trade is the lack of access to commercial financing in countries such as Spain, Bulgaria, Czech Republic, Hungary and Romania. These factors, in addition to the protectionist measures in countries like Germany, Denmark and Norway, contribute to the prospects for trade and investment are not the most positive.
The economy introduced a system of beliefs, the world submitted their designs and explained the role we had given in that world the financial racket was only an invention of idolatry is idolatry to and we know that idolatry always end very badly, causing the collective sacrifice of their gullible followers. “Cops I read something in a journal as ABC, which was a serious newspaper.
The strange thing is that the columnist who writes that almost excuses the role of Zapata in this apocalyptic scenario that draws: “A Zapata now stuck with poor puppet in the hands of the priests of idolatry.” Total, which will be to blame for Spain to go the way of the 5 million unemployed and is in a state of economic ruin of Zapata is not harmful or its management but of the economy. This is like blaming the rain to weather, or blame the bad occurrences of some to philosophy or thought in general, or as a school that have gone wrong because the accounts of mathematics. You do not say anything about the tremendous simplicity to attribute the current financial system that identifies idolatry with the economy, which says so openly and whose credulous followers are ready to sacrifice them.
The recent announcement by the head of the Ministry of Finance and Public Credit, in relation to the intention to limit the transactions in dollars in the bank counters as a mechanism to prevent money laundering, have a regressive effect wing border region’s economy and thus this effect will affect the rest of the economy.
This is considered the vice president of the National College of Economists, José Luis Contreras Valenzuela, saying While it is important to implement control mechanisms to prevent money laundering as part of a strategy against organized crime, it is also true that policies are implemented should not affect the smooth running of the economy.
Nor should become inhibitors of economic activity, because the crisis deepened generate better conditions for the rise in crime, he said.
“We must not fail to see that crime and the illegal actions take place more rapidly when the conditions of economic activity suffer a crisis so deep that even we could not get out. In addition, have enough memory to remember that these conditions have worsened in recent years, “he said.
He said it is important that public policy have as its fundamental objective to create conditions for healthy growth of the economy, creating jobs, facilitating the operations of enterprises and productive assets in order to create jobs and revive the market.
However, if we persist in implementing measures to absurdities such as limited-counter foreign exchange transactions, an economy where many commercial transactions occur in dollars, we think that a measure such as the Ministry of Finance audience, he said.
Contreras Valenzuela said that this business practice every day in the border cities, demand for a facility and foreign exchange controls and implemented as the one introduced by it, pushed to the users of dollars of housing market change, promoting speculation and black market dollars.
He said that in the six northern border states of Mexico accounts for forty percent of the national population in border cities like Ciudad Juarez, Tijuana, Medical, Matamoras, Reins, Nuevo Laredo, Nogales and Ague Pieta, focuses almost twenty million Mexicans.
If we want European Union move towards the consolidation of a federal state must occur European tax union, there must be a common tax framework for Europe.
That means that all European countries have the same taxes, but each within its jurisdiction may, as today in the Spanish regions, reductions deemed necessary to carry out their own fiscal policies, financial and economic.
This would establish a uniform European fiscal space that would allow a more harmonious economy and business-level citizen.
The interim report of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) describes a very complex situation of the global economy.
On the one hand, predicts a clear (albeit slow) improvement of the global economy this year and 2011, driven by emerging countries and the pull of U.S. and Japan.
On the other establishes the doubt on the economies of the euro, which will be entering later growth rates above 2%.
Within the euro zone, Spain is in the caboose. It will be the only major world economy into recession this year (-0.2%) and in 2011 GDP will grow only 0.9%.
Although many times the OECD forecasts have failed miserably and others have been mere propaganda insidious, I think this time in Spain will be near the truth, although I think it a little bit better, but only a little.
As usual, the OECD is more concerned with the markets of the citizens, so the organization refers to the persistent unrest in financial markets and debt.
He worries about the recent turmoil has manifested itself in excessive volatility (sudden subsidence of trading followed by short climbs).
These problems would be corrected in a large part through increased coordination of budgetary policies in Europe.
The head of the Central Bank of Venezuela Armando Leon noted in the last quarter there were minor delays on a set of areas of the economy and that was the cause of the fall of 5.8% of GDP. He said already bottomed out and now must improve the performance of the economy.
Leon reported that between Friday and Saturday must be finished testing the new system for the currency market on Monday and 90% of the system is ready.
The Back’s management denied the data of Conindustria whereby 40% of imports swap was made with U.S. dollars. He said there is no way that that was true and if it appraised and its costs is another matter.
In his view, between 15% and 20% of imports may be held with the exchange.
Armando Leon said that in Venezuela, there is economic and business activity engaged in operations and investments and the proof is that they have paid almost $ 100,000,000 in foreign newspapers
With the most representative figures of government programs in the nearly eight years of her administration, President Alvaro Urine Velez says that the country has advanced so much in the field of security and economy and in the social area.
During the press conference with his counterpart from Honduras, Porphyries Lobo, the Casa de Marino, the president said that the achievements are necessary to maintain and improve policies in these sectors.
He made the comparison of results in security, economy and social programs to care for the rural with the hens and their eggs, using the language that is used in rural areas.
“We have three little eggs means a little egg of Democratic Security, another little egg investment trust and a little egg of social policy. These little eggs are protected by a hen, and those little eggs, if the hen continues, which is the present course, those little eggs hatch, the chicks draw prosperity, the three chicks, that of prosperity, trust and investment the social policy.
“If you change those little eggs hen, if you change course, they will enquire. He also said, back in rural Colombia are Enquire “said President Urine.
The president of the PP in the Canaries, José Manuel Scoria, has assured that the Prime Minister, José Luis Rodriguez Zapata, at the time could take his “populist measures” due to the economic legacy of eight years of PP government.
“While Zapata managed the great economic legacy he had received eight-year rule of the PP, could take any populist measures always saying that never diminish the salary of staff, never freeze pensions and would never do a reversal of policy social “, as expressed today in a statement to the media on the occasion of the Congress of Councils of Trustees of the PP in the Canaries.
“Look at the legacy he received the Prime Minister in 2004. An economy, which was the increased use, generated throughout Europe. An economy that we had delivered in 1996 with a deficit of 6.7 percent, which at that time was a massive shortfall exaggerated and even questioned the Spanish economy’s capacity to assume the balance of input in regional and monetary union. Instead, we submitted a budget and balanced public finances, “he said.
This way, explained that the inheritance received Zapata had a Social Security Fund endowed with 10,000 million euros in 2004, “when eight years earlier than had been received was a Social Security a whole 3,000 million euros”.
Therefore, he added that “it is a textbook example of that, from a position of enviable economic heritage frankly received throughout Europe, has changed in six years, because for the first time an institution had to leave the rescue a major economy. ” “True,” he concluded that there had been a ransom to the Greek economy, but with all due respect, the size of the Greek economy is far from the Spanish economy”